Official sources said the trend of active cases is seen even as enhanced testing has resulted in a rise in overall detection of new cases. The share of active cases has declined by over 8% points between June 11 and June 25, health ministry data shows.
The daily rise in fresh cases is being primarily driven by three states — Delhi, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu — accounting for 61% of the daily case growth. On June 11, the proportion of active cases in the total number of confirmed cases was 48%, which has gradually declined to 39.4% on June 25.
Data shows the trend is visible in more than half the states, while the number of states with less than 50% active cases is increasing, pointing to what government experts say is a natural downturn.
They point out that the overall positivity rate (number of people testing positive in every 100 tested) in the country has remained stable at around 8% despite a big ramp up in testing over last few weeks. Testing remains largely symptomatic and of high risk categories. This indicates that only a limited number of people could be getting infected. India is now conducting over 2 lakh tests every day, as compared to around one lakh on June 1.